Regardless of how rudimentary you are in blackjack gaming you got to make the right kind of move with every hit, stand, double, split and surrender. Even if you are playing in free casino blackjack you got to stick on to the right kind of mathematical decision making in blackjack to be victorious in the long run.
Guessing whether the third card draw can be to your advantage cannot be done with blind intuition, rather it is based on a logical math applying some basic addition and comparing the guessed out hand total of yours with that of the dealer. A logical deduction of the maximum and the minimum total that the dealer will be able to make with a focus on the value of the upcard is also involved in deducing what probably you or the dealer can in the most part make with a draw.
Also the number of decks used in the blackjack game contributes to the decision making. Your guesswork or card counting techniques can get to be illogical with the increasing number of decks used in the game. The strategy that you use for the single deck game will never work out for the multiple deck game. With increase in the number of the decks, the complexity of the game also increases.
Splitting pairs is one approach where in you can maximize your chances of winning. There are suggesting charts that can help you decide on when you should split with your hard, soft or pair hands. If you are not skilled enough to make your own decisions you can stick on to such chart recommendations.
Though there are ample charts available to play blackjack it might not work better unless you know the logics behind the recommended decision making. It can be boring to refer them all the time or to memorize them all the time. Spending just a few minutes understanding the logics of decision making will help you make a better play with a speedy manipulation of the numbers in your brain as the game progresses.
Either way even if you do not memorize, spending just a few minutes in the matrix of decision making charts for various blackjack situations is definitely going to be worthy. There are some hands that should be always hit and some should be always split and some should be left on the stand decision. Why? Just play a few games and you will know why!